New Market Data: What’s Changed (and What Matters Now)

New national short-term rental data from KeyData shows the market entering 2026 in a more stable, execution-driven phase, where revenue is increasingly shaped closer to arrival rather than far in advance.

👉 View the full KeyData industry report here

Key takeaways from the latest study:

  • Average Daily Rates rose 2–3% year over year in late 2025
  • RevPAR increased 4–9% across October–December, driven by pricing strength
  • Early 2026 occupancy is pacing lower (Jan –6%, Feb –5%), confirming bookings are forming closer to arrival
  • Airbnb now captures 54% of reservations nationwide, reflecting where last-minute demand is landing

Bottom line: Revenue performance today is driven less by early volume and more by pricing accuracy and late-stage execution.

WHAT THIS MEANS FOR YOUR PROPERTY

  • Smart pricing adjustments, guided by real data
  • Rates are adjusted intentionally as demand materializes, while keeping your home positioned above market averages.
  • Late-stage decisions matter more than ever
  • Final pricing and availability closer to arrival now have an outsized impact on monthly performance.
  • Selective flexibility improves conversion
  • Strategic adjustments to gaps and minimum stays help capture demand without weakening peak periods.
  • Visibility where guests are booking
  • With most last-minute demand flowing through major platforms, we ensure your home remains competitive while continuing to support direct bookings where appropriate.

WINE COUNTRY SNAPSHOT(Western U.S. performance)

  • ADR up 8% year over year
  • RevPAR up 8%, despite flat occupancy

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